首頁外文書商業行銷投資理財 〉A Man for All Markets: From Las Vegas to Wall Street, How I Beat the Dealer and the Market

A Man for All Markets: From Las Vegas to Wall Street, How I Beat the Dealer and the Market 其它優惠/消息


introduction all_character


內容簡介

◎他的故事證明——聰明的投資人確實可以打敗市場! 
◎從拉斯維加斯連贏到華爾街的數學家, 
親筆揭秘:如何在賭局、股市、人生掌握優勢、奪得全勝?

用算牌法贏遍賭城,二十一點規則因他改寫: 
打造第一個穿戴式電腦,他賭贏輪盤; 
轉向「地表最大賭場」華爾街,他發明選擇權定價公式擊敗大盤; 
「計量金融之父」愛德華.索普用一生教你—— 
判斷優勢、精算風險,就能建立策略,把爛牌變好牌; 
他說:「打敗市場是可能的,而且每個人都能做到!」 

生於大蕭條時期、家境貧困的傳奇數學家愛德華・索普,1959年發明二十一算牌法,讓看起來不可能的事:在二十一點賭桌上戰勝莊家(即電影《決勝二十一點》的原型)發生了,轟動拉斯維加斯,業者聯手限制他進賭場,甚至一度有性命之憂,最終賭場為他改變規則。1960年還與資訊理論大師克勞帝‧夏儂聯手發明世界上第一個穿戴式電腦(IoT的原型),用以戰勝輪盤。

此後,索普把眼光轉往「地表最大賭場」:華爾街。1964年自修股市交易,1967年導出了權證價格公式,在內含「或有權利」類型(如選擇權、認股權證、可轉債)商品中套利,開啟了今日計量金融的新頁。他成立的普林斯頓新港合夥(PNP)避險基金三十幾年平均績效是20至25%,從未虧錢。(1973年史坦普指數下跌15%,PNP賺7%,1974年史坦普指數下跌15%,PNP賺了9%)。索普因此享有量化投資之父的美名。生活多采多姿的他,曾和華倫・巴菲特玩過橋牌,與年輕的魯道夫・朱利安尼交過手,也最早揭穿伯尼・馬多夫的騙局。

本書是索普首度告白他的一生:他如何面對並處理問題,他挑戰新知的熱情與動力,以及無視於「不可能」的好奇心;看起來無解的問題,反而刺激他提出改變遊戲規則的解決辦法。他強調「實驗—試誤—修正」。他的成功,靠的是公式和電腦運算的反覆試驗,而不是靠機運押注。在這個看似非理性的世界、看似高度不確定性的市場,《他是賭神,更是股神》挑戰讀者的邏輯思考,看索普如何運用正確的心態,衡量報酬與風險,做出最適當的籌碼配置。正如索普所說:「希望我的經歷能帶給各位讀者一個不同的見解,幫助大家從另一種角度來思考賭場、投資、風險、現金管理、財富創造以及人生。」這一場令人眼界大開的真實旅程,充滿實用的智慧,將帶你駕馭看似高度不確定性的金融浪潮。

1. 賭縱橫場與華爾街的傳奇人生,開啟計量金融革命的天才數學家 
索普從拉斯維加斯連贏到華爾街,開啟今日計量金融的新頁。一生經歷宛如現代交易演進史,充滿經驗、策略與智慧。無論是散戶投資人、專業操盤手、金融業者、統計與資料科學相關從業者……他戰無不勝的人生,是不可錯過的無價交易課。 

2.機率+模型+永不停止實驗=投資卓越/幸福人生之鑰
索普並非賭鬼、在華爾街也非瞄準賺錢。他抱著單純和專注的心,將看來隨機、不確定性的賭場與市場,靠反覆試驗,隨時動態調整,發展出理論模型,也因此大獲全勝。他印證了:「聰明的投資人確實可以打敗大盤!」 

3.《黑天鵝效應》作者塔雷伯強推:「拜讀索普的傳記,像是看一部驚悚片!」
索普在賭場一度有性命之憂(遭下毒、車子被動手腳出車禍);啟發債券天王比爾‧葛洛斯效法算牌實驗;和夏儂共同發明可攜式電腦計算輪盤,差點被揭穿;預言巴菲特成為首富;公司遭到紐約前市長朱利安尼的搜索與起訴;最早揭穿了馬多夫的騙局……他的一生,比電影還精彩刺激!


本書介出自商業周刊出版《他是賭神, 更是股神: 從賭城連贏到華爾街的天才數學家, 關於風險、財富和人生的第一手告白 



The incredible true story of the card-counting mathematics professor who taught the world how to beat the dealer and, as the first of the great quantitative investors, ushered in a revolution on Wall Street.


A child of the Great Depression, legendary mathematician Edward O. Thorp invented card counting, proving the seemingly impossible: that you could beat the dealer at the blackjack table. As a result he launched a gambling renaissance. His remarkable success—and mathematically unassailable method—caused such an uproar that casinos altered the rules of the game to thwart him and the legions he inspired. They barred him from their premises, even put his life in jeopardy. Nonetheless, gambling was forever changed.

Thereafter, Thorp shifted his sights to “the biggest casino in the world”: Wall Street. Devising and then deploying mathematical formulas to beat the market, Thorp ushered in the era of quantitative finance we live in today. Along the way, the so-called godfather of the quants played bridge with Warren Buffett, crossed swords with a young Rudy Giuliani, detected the Bernie Madoff scheme, and, to beat the game of roulette, invented, with Claude Shannon, the world’s first wearable computer.

Here, for the first time, Thorp tells the story of what he did, how he did it, his passions and motivations, and the curiosity that has always driven him to disregard conventional wisdom and devise game-changing solutions to seemingly insoluble problems. An intellectual thrill ride, replete with practical wisdom that can guide us all in uncertain financial waters, A Man for All Markets is an instant classic—a book that challenges its readers to think logically about a seemingly irrational world.

Praise for A Man for All Markets

“In A Man for All Markets, [Thorp] delightfully recounts his progress (if that is the word) from college teacher to gambler to hedge-fund manager. Along the way we learn important lessons about the functioning of markets and the logic of investment.”—The Wall Street Journal

“[Thorp] gives a biological summation (think Richard Feynman’s Surely You’re Joking, Mr. Feynman!) of his quest to prove the aphorism ‘the house always wins’ is flawed. . . . Illuminating for the mathematically inclined, and cautionary for would-be gamblers and day traders”—
Library Journal







詳細資料

誠品26碼 /2681682364000
ISBN 13 /9780812979909
ISBN 10 /0812979907
EAN /9780812979909

頁數416
尺寸20.3X13.7X3CM
裝訂平裝
級別
語言英文




Share/Save/Bookmark

查看全台書店有無此商品

 

熱銷商品