The Coming Storm: Power, Conflict and Warnings from History | 誠品線上

大戰將至: 當強權競逐失控, 歷史如何預警下一場世界危機

內容簡介

內容簡介 這是一部對世界現狀深刻、具預見性且令人心驚的剖析。若歷史真能帶給我們教訓，現在正是我們必須引以為戒的時刻。我們絕不能讓極端愛國主義、恐懼、宿命論與徹頭徹尾的愚昧交織而成的致命組合，再次將人類推向另一場「大國戰爭」——正是這些因素，點燃了二十世紀的第一場全球戰火。現今生存於世的大多數人，都成長於一個極其穩定的世界局勢，由一個或兩個超級大國所主導。這並非指這段時期全然和平，但在某種程度上，它是「可以預測的」。然而，隨著越來越多的大國開始爭奪區域霸權，我們的世界已變得更加脆弱、反覆無常，且充滿火藥味。若要理解在這複雜的新局勢下我們所面臨的威脅，我們必須回首十九世紀末與二十世紀初的啟示：那是一個大國激烈碰撞、競逐區域主導權的時代；是一個民族主義與民粹主義抬頭，且許多人感到被全球化拋棄的時代。換句話說，那個時代與我們現今的處境，有著令人不寒而慄的相似之處。A prescient, thoughtful and chilling examination of the current state of the worldIf there are lessons from history, now is the time when we need to heed them, so that we do not end up in another Great Power war because of the fatal combinations of jingoism, fear, fatalism, and sheer stupidity that set off the first major war of the 20th century.The great majority of people alive today have come of age in a world of remarkable stability, presided over by either one or two superpowers. This is not to say the world has been peaceful; but it has to an extent been predictable. As an increasing number of Great Powers now jostle for regional supremacy our world has become more fragile, unpredictable – and combustible.To understand the threats that face us in this complex new terrain, we must look to the lessons of the late nineteenth and early twentieth century – a time when Great Powers clashed and sought regional dominance, when nationalism and populism were on the rise, and many felt that globalization had failed them: a time, in other words, that carries eerie parallels with our own.

作者介紹

作者介紹 Odd Arne Westad FBA is a Norwegian historian specializing in the Cold War and contemporary East Asian history. He is the Elihu Professor of History and Global Affairs at Yale University. He has published a number of books on modern and contemporary international history, among them The Cold War: A World History, and Restless Empire. He is the co-author of The Penguin History of the World.

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最佳賣點

最佳賣點 : 歷史正在重演，而我們正處於風暴中心。 當大國競逐取代了超強權的穩定，當民粹主義與極端主義再次交織，今日的世界局勢正與一戰前夕有著高度重疊。耶魯大學歷史教授、冷戰史專家文安立，帶領讀者看透當前脆弱、多變且一觸即發的國際政局，從歷史的血淚中尋找避免下一場大國戰爭的唯一出口。