Farsighted: How We Make the Decisions That Matter the Most

最艱難的選擇也是最重要的選擇。那麼為什麼我們對如何正確理解這些知之甚少呢？

紐約時報暢銷書How
We Got to Now與Where Good Ideas Come From (《創意從何而來: 讓好點子源源不絕的7大模式》)作者，改變生活的大決策比我們每天做出的決定更重要，而且它們也是最困難的：生活的地方，結婚的對象，相信的內容，是否創辦公司，如何結束戰爭。對於解決這些難題，沒有一種通用的方法。

Steven Johnson的經典Where Good
Ideas來自世界各地的創意人士，他們以創新的方式思考。在遠見卓識中，他發現了強大的工具來磨練複雜決策的重要技能。雖然您無法模擬一次千載難逢的選擇，但您可以對專家決策者的審議策略進行建模。這些專家不僅僅是管理大公司或談判高層外交的主要戰略家。他們是小說家，他們揭示了角色內心生活的複雜性，確保長期供水的城市官員，以及那些認為我們大多數人都沒有想到的未來挑戰的科學家。最聰明的決策者並不滿足於他們的勇氣。他們的成功依賴於面向未來的方法以及以創造性，富有成效的方式考慮所有選擇的能力。

通過引人入勝的故事揭示令人驚訝的見解，約翰遜解釋了我們如何能夠最有效地接近可以描繪生活，組織或文明進程的選擇。遠見將幫助您想像您可能的未來，並欣賞形成我們更廣泛的社會歷史的選擇的微妙智慧。







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From the bestselling author of How We Got to Now and Where Good Ideas Come From, a groundbreaking book about making once-in-a-lifetime decisions.Plenty of books offer useful advice on how to get better at making quick-thinking, intuitive choices. But what about more consequential decisions, the ones that affect our lives for years, or centuries, to come? Our most powerful stories revolve around these kinds of decisions: where to live, whom to marry, what to believe, whether to start a company, how to end a war.Full of the beautifully crafted storytelling and novel insights that Steven Johnson's fans know to expect, Farsighted draws lessons from cognitive science, social psychology, military strategy, environmental planning, and great works of literature. Everyone thinks we are living in an age of short attention spans, but we've actually learned a lot about making long-term decisions over the past few decades. Johnson makes a compelling case for a smarter and more deliberative decision-making approach. He argues that we choose better when we break out of the myopia of single-scale thinking and develop methods for considering all the factors involved.There's no one-size-fits-all model for the important decisions that can alter the course of a life, an organization, or a civilization. But Farsighted explains how we can approach these choices more effectively, and how we can appreciate the subtle intelligence of choices that shaped our broader social history.