內容簡介
內容簡介 台灣防衛戰略:避免中美衝突的關鍵布局 冷靜、平衡且建立於嚴謹研究之上,《Defending Taiwan》被譽為避免第三次世界大戰的重要指南。台灣,正是美中之間脆弱和平最可能被考驗——甚至破裂的關鍵地點。北京視「統一」為歷史必然;而長期維持區域穩定的美國軍事優勢,正逐漸削弱。中國已洞察美方戰略中的關鍵弱點,並試圖在不發動戰爭的情況下,透過施壓、孤立與脅迫,迫使台灣屈服。一旦嚇阻失效,台海危機將帶來災難性後果——全球經濟動盪、同盟體系瓦解,並使中國得以主導區域,重塑世界秩序。在本書中,作者 Eyck Freymann 提出首個整合性的戰略框架,旨在嚇阻與中國的衝突,並維持一種可持續且體面的和平。他運用尚未被翻譯的中國資料、最新的軍事與經濟分析,以及深厚的歷史研究,指出華府的嚇阻策略不能再僅依賴傳統軍事力量或「相互保證毀滅」的威脅。Freymann 主張,美國必須與盟友合作,發展結合科技與經濟實力的全新國家戰略,並同時為嚇阻失敗的情境做好準備。他全面分析中國可能採取的各種戰略選項,並強調:唯有整合軍事實力、經濟槓桿、科技優勢與外交影響力,才能形成一套一致且有效的防戰方案。這不僅是一部關於台灣的著作,更是一套關於美中關係如何維持長期穩定的宏觀戰略藍圖。《Defending Taiwan》直面當今世界最危險的地緣政治挑戰。 Sober, balanced, rigorously researched, and eminently readable, Defending Taiwan is a definitive guide to preventing World War III. Taiwan is where the uneasy peace between the United States and China will be tested--and possibly broken. Beijing believes that "reunification" is inevitable. American military strength has preserved peace and stability for decades, but its advantages are eroding. Beijing has found critical gaps in U.S. strategy and is working to squeeze, isolate, and coerce Taiwan into submission without firing a shot. If deterrence fails, the consequences of a Taiwan crisis would be catastrophic--plunging the global economy into chaos, shattering U.S. alliances, and allowing China to dominate the region and reshape the world order. In Defending Taiwan, Eyck Freymann presents the first integrated strategy to deter war with China and preserve an honorable peace. Drawing on untranslated Chinese sources, cutting-edge military and economic analysis, and deep historical research, Freymann argues that Washington's deterrence strategy must extend beyond conventional military power and familiar threats of mutually assured destruction. America must work with allies to develop a bold new vision of technological and economic statecraft--and a plan to secure its interests if deterrence fails. Freymann examines China's full range of strategic options. The United States can deter them all. But to do so, it must integrate its military strength, economic leverage, technological leadership, and diplomatic influence into a single, coherent plan to prevent war. This is not just a book about Taiwan. It is a grand strategy to ensure lasting stability in the U.S.-China relationship. Defending Taiwan is the definitive guide to the world's most dangerous geopolitical challenge.
作者介紹
作者介紹 Eyck Freymann is a Hoover Fellow at Stanford University and a Non-Resident Research Fellow at the U.S. Naval War College's China Maritime Studies Institute. He is the author of The Arsenal of Democracy: Technology, Industry, and Deterrence in an Age of Hard Choices (Hoover, 2025) and One Belt One Road: Chinese Power Meets the World (Harvard, 2021). His writings have also appeared in The Wall Street Journal, Foreign Affairs, The Economist, War on the Rocks, The China Quarterly, The Atlantic, and other venues. He previously held fellowships at Harvard and Columbia and he holds four degrees in history and China Studies from Oxford, Cambridge, and Harvard.