The Fractured Age: How the Return of Geopolitics Will Splinter the Global Economy

《斷裂時代》(The Fractured Age 暫譯) 是經濟學家尼爾·希爾林(Neil Shearing) 探討地緣政治緊張與貿易關稅如何重塑全球經濟趨勢、一本關於美國貿易關稅對全球影響的領先預測犀利之作。

「一位極其理智、頭腦清醒且具原創性的思想家。」——《金融時報》（The Financial Times）
「一本探討這個破碎新世界、極其及時的作品。」——《週日泰晤士報》（The Sunday Times）
「關於全球經濟未來最出色的一本書。」——《國際經濟》（The International Economy）

全球秩序的地殼板塊正在移動，產生的新壓力將使長期存在的金融結構面臨嚴峻考驗。

但是，世界經濟的新斷層掃描線將出現在何處？ 這些變革又將帶來多大的破壞性？

在《斷裂時代》這部清晰且影響深遠的結算之作中，作者揭示了未來十年將形塑世界經濟的威脅與機遇。本書記錄了在深刻變革的世界中「地緣政治集團」的崛起——這些集團的相對規模與經濟多樣性，將成為重組一切的關鍵，從貨幣貿易、投資流向，到技術轉移以及關鍵礦產的取得。

隨著世界進入另一個劇烈動盪期，一個新的全球秩序正在成形。對於企業董事會與政府殿堂而言，理解哪些經濟體將從中受益、哪些將承擔成本，對於制定有效決策至關重要。

身為全球領先的獨立宏觀經濟與市場研究機構首席經濟學家，尼爾·希爾林描繪了一個關於未來高峰與裂痕的清晰願景，並闡述了在這個斷裂時代中，全球經濟將如何被根本性地改寫。

作者見解曾為彭博社（Bloomberg）、BBC 新聞、CNN、第四台新聞、以及《金融時報》、《華爾街日報》與《衛報》等媒體報導。

THE LEADING FORECAST ON THE GLOBAL IMPACT OF US TRADE TARIFFS

'An exceptionally sensible, clear-headed and original thinker' The Financial Times
'A very timely book on the new, fractured world'***** The Sunday Times
'The best book on the future of the global economy'***** The International Economy

The tectonic plates of the global order are shifting, creating new pressures that will strain long-standing financial structures.

BUT WHERE WILL THE WORLD'S NEW ECONOMIC FAULT LINES EMERGE?
AND HOW DISRUPTIVE WILL THEY BE?

In a clear and far-reaching reckoning, The Fractured Age lays bare the threats and opportunities that will shape the world economy over the coming decade. It charts the emergence of geopolitical blocs in a world undergoing profound change - blocs whose relative size and economic diversity will be pivotal in reordering everything from goods trade and investment flows to technology transfers and access to critical minerals.

As the world enters another period of seismic upheaval and a new global order emerges, understanding which economies will benefit, and which will bear the costs, will be critical for effective decision-making throughout boardrooms and the halls of government.

As Chief Economist of one of the world's leading providers of independent macroeconomic and market research, Neil Shearing lays out a stark vision of the peaks and rifts that will unfold, and how they will fundamentally reshape the global economy in this fractured age.

As seen on Bloomberg, BBC News, CNN, Channel 4 News and in The Financial Times, the Wall Street Journal and The Guardian