Prophecy: Prediction, Power, and the Fight for the Future, from Ancient Oracles to AI | 誠品線上

Prophecy: Prediction, Power, and the Fight for the Future, from Ancient Oracles to AI

內容簡介

內容簡介 獲獎肯定的牛津大學教授帶來了這部卓越且迫切的著作，重新審視那些主宰我們生活的「預言」——從個人財務、醫療品質，到我們消費的新聞、社群媒體，甚至是那些強加在我們身上的商品，預測無所不在。當今的電腦科學家，正扮演著古代神諭與中世紀占星師的角色。現代預測不僅針對戰爭、農產量或婚姻提供建議；如今，演算法與統計學家更決定了我們是否能獲得貸款、工作、公寓，甚至是器官移植的機會。當我們向這些預測退讓時，我們便失去了對自己人生的掌控權。在這部強而有力、視角嶄新的著作中，牛津大學教授卡里莎．維利茲解釋了過度信奉他人預測，如何使我們變得脆弱，易受江湖郎中、騙子、可疑技術與自我欺騙的侵害。維利茲廣泛探討了醫療、氣候、科技與社會等個人及社會層面的議題，並揭示了多項深刻洞見：關於人類的預測往往具有「自我實現」的傾向；更多數據並不保證更好的結果；人工智慧（AI）增加風險的可能性高於降低風險；而一個自由且強健的社會，需要的不是更多的預測，而是更好的準備。維利茲在這部透徹且具原創性的書中主張：預測的主要承諾並非對未來的認知，而是對他人的「權力」。《預言》（Prophecy）是一份邀請，激勵我們反抗那些指令，按自己的意願生活。From an award-winning University of Oxford professor comes a brilliant, urgent new look at prophecies—the predictions that determine our lives, from our personal finances and the quality of our healthcare to the news and social media we consume and the products foisted upon us.Today’s computer scientists play the same role as the oracles of the ancient world and the astrologers of the Middle Ages. Modern predictions not only advise on war, crop output, and marriages, but algorithms and statisticians also now determine whether we can get a loan, a job, an apartment, or an organ transplant. And when we cede ground to these predictions, we lose control of our own lives.In this powerful, refreshing new look at the many ways prediction shapes our everyday lives, University of Oxford professor Carissa Véliz explains how putting too much stock in others’ predictions makes us vulnerable to charlatans, con artists, dubious technology, and self-deception. Examining a wide range of subjects both personal and societal, including medicine, climate, technology, society, and others, Véliz uncovers a number of insights: predictions about humans tend to be self-fulfilling; more data doesn’t guarantee better outcomes; AI is more likely to increase risk than decrease it; and a free and robust society requires not more prediction, but better preparation.Véliz argues in this incisive and bracingly original book that the main promise of prediction is not knowledge of the future, but rather power over others. Prophecy is an invitation to defy those orders and live life on our own terms.

作者介紹

作者介紹 Carissa VélizCarissa Véliz is an associate professor at the Faculty of Philosophy and the Institute for Ethics in AI, as well as a tutorial fellow at Hertford College, at the University of Oxford. Her first book, Privacy Is Power, was an Economist book of the year and has been published in seven languages. She is also the author of The Ethics of Privacy and Surveillance and the editor of The Oxford Handbook of Digital Ethics.

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最佳賣點

最佳賣點 : 演算法是現代神諭，還是奴役人生的陷阱？牛津教授揭示：當貸款、求職到醫療都由數據「預言」決定，我們正失去主控權。預測的本質不是預知未來，而是權力操控。別讓演算法寫好你的劇本，奪回直面未知的自由，按自己的意願生活！

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