Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts | 誠品線上

高勝算決策: 如何在面對決定時, 降低失誤, 每次出手成功率都比對手高?

作者 安妮.杜克
出版社 PENGUIN GROUP (USA) INC.
商品描述 Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts:Eventhebestdecisiondoesn’tyieldthebestoutcomeeverytime.There’salwaysanelementofl

內容簡介

內容簡介 Even the best decision doesn’t yield the best outcome every time. There’s always an element of luck that you can’t control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?

作者介紹

作者介紹 Annie Duke is a World Series of Poker bracelet winner, the winner of the 2004 Tournament of Champions and the only woman to win the NBC National Poker Heads Up Championship. Now, as a professional speaker and decision strategist, she merges her poker expertise with her cognitive psychology graduate work at UPenn. She is a founder of How I Decide, a non-profit that creates curricula and tools to improve decision making and critical thinking skills for under-served middle schoolers.

商品規格

書名 / Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
作者 / 安妮.杜克
簡介 / Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts:Eventhebestdecisiondoesn’tyieldthebestoutcomeeverytime.There’salwaysanelementofl
出版社 / PENGUIN GROUP (USA) INC.
ISBN13 / 9780735216372
ISBN10 / 0735216371
EAN / 9780735216372
誠品26碼 / 2681908862006
頁數 / 288
注音版 /
裝訂 / P:平裝
語言 / 3:英文
尺寸 / 14X21.1X1.8CM
級別 / N:無